Goalysis

Today Win/Draw/Lose (1X2) Analysis

Updated daily · Date: 2026-10-10

Introduction

Today's football analysis examines selected fixtures using statistical signals derived from recent form, head-to-head patterns, and goal-scoring trends. This analysis examines match outcome patterns, identifying fixtures where recent form and head-to-head data show directional bias toward specific results. Date: Saturday, 10 October 2026.

This page summarizes 1X2 alignment as signal scores based on recent form and head-to-head samples. It is informational and should be combined with team news.

Top Available Matches Today (4)

CS Marítimo vs FC Porto
Strong Signal1X2
PPL·2026-10-10·High Alignment: 73/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
7/100
Draw
20/100
Away win
73/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Recent form
CS Marítimo form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. FC Porto form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 0, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 4, 0, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between CS Marítimo and FC Porto, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
CS Marítimo have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. FC Porto show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
FC Porto hold a clear form advantage over CS Marítimo. FC Porto's offensive output is more reliable. CS Marítimo concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Porto stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
FC Porto's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Barcelona vs Getafe CF
Mixed Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 63/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
63/100
Draw
10/100
Away win
0/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
FC Barcelona form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L. Getafe CF form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 7, 4, 5, 5 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Barcelona and Getafe CF, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Barcelona have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Getafe CF show 0/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Barcelona show stronger recent form than Getafe CF. FC Barcelona generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Barcelona stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
FC Barcelona's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente '65
Mixed Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
3/100
Away win
57/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. FC Twente '65 form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 3, 3, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 1, 2, 4
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente '65, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Fortuna Sittard have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Twente '65 show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
FC Twente '65 show stronger recent form than Fortuna Sittard. FC Twente '65 generate stronger attacking returns. Fortuna Sittard's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Twente '65 stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Twente '65
FC Internazionale Milano vs Parma Calcio 1913
Mixed Signal1X2
SA·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
54/100
Draw
11/100
Away win
4/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Recent form
FC Internazionale Milano form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Parma Calcio 1913 form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 5, 1, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 1, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Internazionale Milano and Parma Calcio 1913, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Internazionale Milano have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Parma Calcio 1913 show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
FC Internazionale Milano outperform Parma Calcio 1913 in recent results. FC Internazionale Milano produce more attacking output per match. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Internazionale Milano stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from FC Internazionale Milano pairs with above-average goal production

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara
Mixed Signal1X2
PPL·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
3/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
50/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Casa Pia AC: 1W-1D-3L | CD Santa Clara: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Casa Pia AC: 2/5 over 2.5 | CD Santa Clara: 2/5 over 2.5
CD Santa Clara outperform Casa Pia AC in recent results. CD Santa Clara produce more attacking output per match. Casa Pia AC allow more goals per match on average. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Only CD Santa Clara's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Sunderland AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Mixed Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 48/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
7/100
Draw
15/100
Away win
48/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Sunderland AFC: 1W-1D-3L | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Sunderland AFC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC outperform Sunderland AFC in recent results. Brighton & Hove Albion FC produce more attacking output per match. Sunderland AFC allow more goals per match on average. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Brighton & Hove Albion FC pairs with above-average goal production
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Birmingham City FC
Mixed Signal1X2
ELC·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
27/100
Draw
47/100
Away win
27/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: West Bromwich Albion FC: 2W-2D-1L | Birmingham City FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: West Bromwich Albion FC: 0/5 over 2.5 | Birmingham City FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Birmingham City FC's offensive output is more reliable. Birmingham City FC concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
West Bromwich Albion FC stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Mixed Signal1X2
ELC·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
43/100
Draw
10/100
Away win
17/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Swansea City AFC: 3W-1D-1L | Norwich City FC: 2W-0D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Swansea City AFC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Norwich City FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Swansea City AFC hold a clear form advantage over Norwich City FC. Norwich City FC's offensive output is more reliable. Norwich City FC concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Swansea City AFC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club
Mixed Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-10·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
17/100
Away win
43/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2W-1D-2L | Athletic Club: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 4/5 over 2.5 | Athletic Club: 1/5 over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's offensive output is more reliable. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid concede at a higher rate. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Athletic Club's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (9)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Chelsea FC vs AFC Bournemouth
Weak Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 37/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
30/100
Draw
37/100
Away win
3/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: Chelsea FC: 2W-1D-2L | AFC Bournemouth: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Chelsea FC: 5/5 over 2.5 | AFC Bournemouth: 3/5 over 2.5
Chelsea FC outperform AFC Bournemouth in recent results. Chelsea FC produce more attacking output per match. Chelsea FC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Chelsea FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Deportivo Alavés vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Weak Signal1X2
PD·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 37/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
23/100
Draw
10/100
Away win
37/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: Deportivo Alavés: 2W-1D-2L | Club Atlético de Madrid: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Deportivo Alavés: 2/5 over 2.5 | Club Atlético de Madrid: 5/5 over 2.5
Club Atlético de Madrid produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Club Atlético de Madrid pairs with above-average goal production
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
Weak Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 33/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
33/100
Draw
33/100
Away win
4/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Go Ahead Eagles: 1W-3D-1L | Sparta Rotterdam: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Go Ahead Eagles: 3/5 over 2.5 | Sparta Rotterdam: 5/5 over 2.5
Go Ahead Eagles show weaker recent form than Sparta Rotterdam. Go Ahead Eagles generate weaker attacking returns. Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Form and head-to-head data both support Go Ahead Eagles
1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg
Weak Signal1X2
BL1·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 31/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
0/100
Draw
0/100
Away win
31/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: 1. FC Union Berlin: 1W-1D-3L | SV 07 Elversberg: 2W-1D-1L
Goals: 1. FC Union Berlin: 5/5 over 2.5 | SV 07 Elversberg: 3/4 over 2.5
SV 07 Elversberg hold a clear form advantage over 1. FC Union Berlin. 1. FC Union Berlin concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
SV 07 Elversberg's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Arsenal FC vs Leeds United FC
Weak Signal1X2
PL·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 30/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
30/100
Draw
10/100
Away win
10/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Arsenal FC: 4W-0D-1L | Leeds United FC: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Arsenal FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Leeds United FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Arsenal FC show weaker recent form than Leeds United FC. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Arsenal FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes; current goal rates are low despite high-scoring head-to-head history
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Arsenal FC
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Weak Signal1X2
BL1·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 30/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
17/100
Draw
23/100
Away win
30/100
Best aligned outcome: AWAY_WIN
Form: 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3W-1D-1L | Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3/5 over 2.5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 3/5 over 2.5
The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
1. FSV Mainz 05's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs AZ
Weak Signal1X2
DED·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 26/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
26/100
Draw
19/100
Away win
6/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 3W-1D-1L | AZ: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 5/5 over 2.5 | AZ: 2/5 over 2.5
AZ outperform Feyenoord Rotterdam in recent results. Feyenoord Rotterdam produce more attacking output per match. Feyenoord Rotterdam allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from AZ pairs with above-average goal production
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Weak Signal1X2
SA·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 23/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
10/100
Draw
23/100
Away win
17/100
Best aligned outcome: DRAW
Form: Genoa CFC: 0W-1D-4L | ACF Fiorentina: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Genoa CFC: 2/5 over 2.5 | ACF Fiorentina: 4/5 over 2.5
ACF Fiorentina outperform Genoa CFC in recent results. ACF Fiorentina produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from ACF Fiorentina pairs with above-average goal production
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
Weak Signal1X2
BL1·2026-10-10·Low Alignment: 19/100
1X2 score snapshot
Home win
19/100
Draw
0/100
Away win
19/100
Best aligned outcome: HOME_WIN
Form: SC Paderborn 07: 1W-1D-2L | VfB Stuttgart: 2W-0D-3L
Goals: SC Paderborn 07: 2/4 over 2.5 | VfB Stuttgart: 4/5 over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart generate weaker attacking returns. VfB Stuttgart's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
VfB Stuttgart's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

Pattern insights

Across today's selected fixtures, the strongest patterns cluster around goal tempo and repeatable scoring sequences. 4 of the featured matches show patterns favoring one side in the 1X2 market, while 3 appear more balanced or unpredictable. When interpreting 1X2 signals, look for consistency across home form, away form, and head-to-head samples pointing in the same direction. Higher signal scores indicate stronger alignment toward a specific outcome. When reading the page, treat each signal as a description of what has happened most often in similar recent conditions. The most valuable insight comes from consistency: multiple independent samples (home form, away form, and head-to-head) pointing in the same direction. A practical next step is to open one match in the analysis tool and trace which sample (home form, away form, or head-to-head) is driving the strongest part of the signal score.

How to interpret these signals

The signals on this page summarize repeatable patterns that show up in recent match samples. Recent form captures how consistently a team has scored, conceded, and controlled outcomes over its last five completed games. Head-to-head summaries provide extra context on how styles have interacted in recent meetings, but older matchups should be weighted less if squads or managers have changed. Goal trends (such as over 2.5 goal frequency or both-teams-to-score rates) help describe match tempo and volatility. These signals are not guarantees. Football outcomes are affected by injuries, rotation, schedule congestion, match state, and tactical changes. The most responsible approach is to treat the signals as a starting point, then add context with team news and venue considerations. For a structured walkthrough, see the guides on how analysts study matches and how to interpret goal thresholds.

How to analyze football matches and Football form analysis provide deeper context.

Next step

You can explore detailed signals for any match using the Goalysis analysis tool.

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