Goalysis
2026-10-24

Football Analysis – 2026-10-24

Daily football match analysis for 2026-10-24 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-10-24 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-10-24·High Alignment: 77/100
Recent form
Aston Villa FC form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. Manchester City FC form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 1, 6, 2, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 5, 3, 2, 3, 5
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Aston Villa FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Manchester City FC show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Manchester City FC generate stronger attacking returns. Manchester City FC's defensive record is less reliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data points converge clearly across all measured sources. This creates strong alignment across the available data.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Aston Villa FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Aston Villa FC
Racing Club de Lens vs Paris FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 65/100
Recent form
Racing Club de Lens form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Paris FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 3, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 0, 2, 0, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Racing Club de Lens and Paris FC, 2 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Racing Club de Lens have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Paris FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Paris FC hold a clear form advantage over Racing Club de Lens. Paris FC's offensive output is more reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Paris FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Paris FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 63/100
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. PEC Zwolle form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 3, 0, 2, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 0, 0, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. PEC Zwolle show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Utrecht show stronger recent form than PEC Zwolle. FC Utrecht generate stronger attacking returns. PEC Zwolle's defensive record is less reliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Utrecht stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
FC Utrecht's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Como 1907 vs US Sassuolo Calcio
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Como 1907 form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. US Sassuolo Calcio form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 3, 2, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 1, 3, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Como 1907 and US Sassuolo Calcio, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Como 1907 have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. US Sassuolo Calcio show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
US Sassuolo Calcio allow more goals per match on average. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Como 1907 stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from Como 1907 pairs with above-average goal production

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Form: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2W-2D-1L | Elche CF: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 3/5 over 2.5 | Elche CF: 2/5 over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Form: RB Leipzig: 2W-0D-3L | SV 07 Elversberg: 2W-1D-2L
Goals: RB Leipzig: 3/5 over 2.5 | SV 07 Elversberg: 3/5 over 2.5
RB Leipzig concede at a higher rate. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
SV 07 Elversberg's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Coventry City FC vs Fulham FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 48/100
Form: Coventry City FC: 2W-0D-3L | Fulham FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Coventry City FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Fulham FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Coventry City FC concede at a higher rate. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Coventry City FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
FC Alverca vs FC Arouca
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 48/100
Form: FC Alverca: 3W-1D-1L | FC Arouca: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: FC Alverca: 3/5 over 2.5 | FC Arouca: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Alverca produce more attacking output per match. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from FC Alverca pairs with above-average goal production
Portsmouth FC vs Millwall FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-10-24·Moderate Alignment: 47/100
Form: Portsmouth FC: 2W-2D-1L | Millwall FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Portsmouth FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Millwall FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Portsmouth FC
Low Signal Matches (7)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Sheffield United FC vs Derby County FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Sheffield United FC: 2W-0D-3L | Derby County FC: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sheffield United FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Derby County FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Sheffield United FC show weaker recent form than Derby County FC. Sheffield United FC generate weaker attacking returns. Derby County FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Sheffield United FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 36/100
Form: 1. FC Köln: 1W-1D-3L | FC Schalke 04: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: 1. FC Köln: 3/5 over 2.5 | FC Schalke 04: 2/5 over 2.5
1. FC Köln's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
FC Schalke 04's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 32/100
Form: Charlton Athletic FC: 0W-3D-2L | Norwich City FC: 0W-0D-5L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Charlton Athletic FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Norwich City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Charlton Athletic FC show weaker recent form than Norwich City FC. Norwich City FC generate weaker attacking returns. Norwich City FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Charlton Athletic FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3W-0D-2L | SV Werder Bremen: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: 1. FSV Mainz 05: 4/5 over 2.5 | SV Werder Bremen: 4/5 over 2.5
1. FSV Mainz 05 produce more attacking output per match. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Form and head-to-head signals contradict each other, weakening the reading
Real Racing Club de Santander vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Real Racing Club de Santander: 1W-1D-3L | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 1W-1D-3L
Goals: Real Racing Club de Santander: 4/5 over 2.5 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 2/5 over 2.5
Real Racing Club de Santander's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
The available sources disagree, making it difficult to establish a clear direction
Valencia CF vs Villarreal CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Valencia CF: 1W-2D-2L | Villarreal CF: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Valencia CF: 2/5 over 2.5 | Villarreal CF: 3/5 over 2.5
Villarreal CF's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Villarreal CF's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Arsenal FC vs Everton FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-10-24·Low Alignment: 17/100
Form: Arsenal FC: 3W-1D-1L | Everton FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Arsenal FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Everton FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Arsenal FC outperform Everton FC in recent results. Arsenal FC produce more attacking output per match. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from Arsenal FC pairs with above-average goal production

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.