Goalysis
2026-10-15

Football Analysis – 2026-10-15

Daily football match analysis for 2026-10-15 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-10-15 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-10-16·High Alignment: 80/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Eintracht Frankfurt form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. 1. FC Köln form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 2, 3, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 1, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Eintracht Frankfurt have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. 1. FC Köln show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Eintracht Frankfurt's defensive record is less reliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data points converge clearly across all measured sources. This creates strong alignment across the available data.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → 1. FC Köln stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends converge on a consistent reading.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support 1. FC Köln
SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-10-16·High Alignment: 70/100Tomorrow
Recent form
SC Heerenveen form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 4, 0, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 1, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SC Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SC Heerenveen have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. SBV Excelsior show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior concede at a higher rate. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → balanced between teams
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
Past meetings and current form both indicate above-threshold goal output
Frosinone Calcio vs US Sassuolo Calcio
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-10-16·Moderate Alignment: 67/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Frosinone Calcio form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. US Sassuolo Calcio form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 2, 1, 3, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 3, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Frosinone Calcio and US Sassuolo Calcio, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Frosinone Calcio have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. US Sassuolo Calcio show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Frosinone Calcio stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from Frosinone Calcio pairs with above-average goal production
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-10-15·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Fluminense FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. SE Palmeiras form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 4, 3, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 1, 0, 6, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Fluminense FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. SE Palmeiras show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
SE Palmeiras hold a clear form advantage over Fluminense FC. SE Palmeiras's offensive output is more reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SE Palmeiras stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
SE Palmeiras's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (4)

Le Mans FC vs Toulouse FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-10-16·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Le Mans FC: 1W-2D-2L | Toulouse FC: 1W-3D-1L
Goals: Le Mans FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Toulouse FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Toulouse FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Mirassol FC vs SC Internacional
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-10-16·Moderate Alignment: 44/100Tomorrow
Form: Mirassol FC: 2W-2D-1L | SC Internacional: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Mirassol FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | SC Internacional: 3/5 over 2.5
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Mirassol FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Estudiantes de La Plata vs CR Flamengo
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-10-16·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Estudiantes de La Plata: 3W-2D-0L | CR Flamengo: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Estudiantes de La Plata: 1/5 over 2.5 | CR Flamengo: 3/5 over 2.5
CR Flamengo allow more goals per match on average. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-10-16·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Burnley FC: 1W-3D-1L | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Burnley FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Burnley FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (1)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante UD
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-10-16·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: RC Deportivo La Coruña: 1W-2D-2L | Levante UD: 1W-2D-2L
Goals: RC Deportivo La Coruña: 2/5 over 2.5 | Levante UD: 4/5 over 2.5
Levante UD's offensive output is more unreliable. Levante UD concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Current form and historical data diverge, reducing interpretive confidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.