Goalysis
2026-09-18

Football Analysis – 2026-09-18

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-18 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-18 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Millwall FC vs West Ham United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 60/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Millwall FC form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. West Ham United FC form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 4, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 6, 3, 3, 4, 1
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Millwall FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. West Ham United FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
West Ham United FC outperform Millwall FC in recent results. West Ham United FC produce more attacking output per match. Millwall FC allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Signal breakdown
Form signal → West Ham United FC stronger
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from West Ham United FC pairs with above-average goal production
ADO Den Haag vs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 60/100Tomorrow
Recent form
ADO Den Haag form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 2, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
ADO Den Haag have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden show stronger recent form than ADO Den Haag. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden generate stronger attacking returns. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden stronger
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Stoke City FC vs Sheffield United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Stoke City FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Sheffield United FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 4, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 1, 3, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Stoke City FC and Sheffield United FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Stoke City FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Sheffield United FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Stoke City FC show stronger recent form than Sheffield United FC. Sheffield United FC's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Stoke City FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Stoke City FC
CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
CA Osasuna form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 2, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 3, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between CA Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
CA Osasuna have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid produce more attacking output per match. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Rayo Vallecano de Madrid stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: Hamburger SV: 1W-1D-3L | 1. FC Köln: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Hamburger SV: 3/5 over 2.5 | 1. FC Köln: 4/5 over 2.5
1. FC Köln's offensive output is more reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: SV Werder Bremen: 1W-1D-3L | FC Augsburg: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SV Werder Bremen: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Augsburg: 5/5 over 2.5
FC Augsburg show stronger recent form than SV Werder Bremen. FC Augsburg generate stronger attacking returns. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Augsburg
Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: Paris FC: 3W-2D-0L | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Paris FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 4/5 over 2.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace's offensive output is more reliable. RC Strasbourg Alsace concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Paris FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
AS Roma vs FC Internazionale Milano
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: AS Roma: 4W-1D-0L | FC Internazionale Milano: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: AS Roma: 3/5 over 2.5 | FC Internazionale Milano: 4/5 over 2.5
FC Internazionale Milano concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
AS Roma's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Bologna FC 1909 vs Torino FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-19·Moderate Alignment: 43/100Tomorrow
Form: Bologna FC 1909: 0W-2D-3L | Torino FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Bologna FC 1909: 2/5 over 2.5 | Torino FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Torino FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (11)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Aston Villa FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 36/100Tomorrow
Form: Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1W-2D-2L | Aston Villa FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Aston Villa FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Aston Villa FC generate weaker attacking returns. Aston Villa FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Tottenham Hotspur FC's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Udinese Calcio: 1W-1D-3L | Cagliari Calcio: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Udinese Calcio: 3/5 over 2.5 | Cagliari Calcio: 2/5 over 2.5
Cagliari Calcio show weaker recent form than Udinese Calcio. Udinese Calcio's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Cagliari Calcio's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1W-0D-4L | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5/5 over 2.5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3/5 over 2.5
1. FSV Mainz 05 outperform Borussia Mönchengladbach in recent results. Borussia Mönchengladbach allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors 1. FSV Mainz 05 while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from 1. FSV Mainz 05 pairs with above-average goal production
CD Nacional vs FC Famalicão
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Nacional: 1W-0D-4L | FC Famalicão: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Famalicão: 2/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
CR Flamengo vs CAR Independiente del Valle
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-09-18·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: CR Flamengo: 5W-0D-0L | CAR Independiente del Valle: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: CR Flamengo: 2/5 over 2.5 | CAR Independiente del Valle: 2/5 over 2.5
CR Flamengo hold a clear form advantage over CAR Independiente del Valle. CAR Independiente del Valle concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
CR Flamengo stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alavés
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Athletic Club: 2W-1D-2L | Deportivo Alavés: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Athletic Club: 2/5 over 2.5 | Deportivo Alavés: 2/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Gil Vicente FC vs CS Marítimo
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Gil Vicente FC: 2W-1D-2L | CS Marítimo: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Gil Vicente FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | CS Marítimo: 5/5 over 2.5
Gil Vicente FC outperform CS Marítimo in recent results. CS Marítimo allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors Gil Vicente FC while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes
Weak form from Gil Vicente FC pairs with above-average goal production
Everton FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 20/100Tomorrow
Form: Everton FC: 1W-3D-1L | Ipswich Town FC: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Everton FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Ipswich Town FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Ipswich Town FC show weaker recent form than Everton FC. Ipswich Town FC generate weaker attacking returns. Ipswich Town FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Arsenal FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 20/100Tomorrow
Form: Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 2W-1D-2L | Arsenal FC: 5W-0D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Arsenal FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Arsenal FC outperform Brighton & Hove Albion FC in recent results. Brighton & Hove Albion FC produce more attacking output per match. Brighton & Hove Albion FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors Arsenal FC while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from Arsenal FC pairs with above-average goal production
RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 20/100Tomorrow
Form: RC Celta de Vigo: 0W-3D-2L | Real Racing Club de Santander: 2W-0D-3L
Goals: RC Celta de Vigo: 1/5 over 2.5 | Real Racing Club de Santander: 4/5 over 2.5
Real Racing Club de Santander show weaker recent form than RC Celta de Vigo. Real Racing Club de Santander generate weaker attacking returns. Real Racing Club de Santander's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
Real Racing Club de Santander's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Cardiff City FC vs Charlton Athletic FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-19·Low Alignment: 17/100Tomorrow
Form: Cardiff City FC: 0W-2D-3L | Charlton Athletic FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Cardiff City FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Charlton Athletic FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Charlton Athletic FC outperform Cardiff City FC in recent results. Cardiff City FC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Charlton Athletic FC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.