Goalysis
2026-09-14

Football Analysis – 2026-09-14

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-14 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-14 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 67/100
Recent form
Rio Ave FC form (last 5): 1W-0D-4L. CF Estrela da Amadora form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 0, 2, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 3, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Rio Ave FC and CF Estrela da Amadora, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Rio Ave FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 0 of those games. CF Estrela da Amadora show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
CF Estrela da Amadora outperform Rio Ave FC in recent results. CF Estrela da Amadora produce more attacking output per match. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → CF Estrela da Amadora stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
CF Estrela da Amadora's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Villarreal CF vs Real Betis Balompié
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Villarreal CF form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. Real Betis Balompié form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 0, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 2, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Villarreal CF and Real Betis Balompié, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Villarreal CF have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Real Betis Balompié show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Real Betis Balompié hold a clear form advantage over Villarreal CF. Villarreal CF concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Real Betis Balompié stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Real Betis Balompié's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Internazionale Milano vs Udinese Calcio
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
FC Internazionale Milano form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Udinese Calcio form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 4, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Internazionale Milano and Udinese Calcio, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Internazionale Milano have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Udinese Calcio show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
FC Internazionale Milano show stronger recent form than Udinese Calcio. FC Internazionale Milano generate stronger attacking returns. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Internazionale Milano stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Internazionale Milano
EC Bahia vs Clube do Remo
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 54/100
Recent form
EC Bahia form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. Clube do Remo form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 3, 2, 3, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 1, 1, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between EC Bahia and Clube do Remo, 1 of the last 1 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 1 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
EC Bahia have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Clube do Remo show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
EC Bahia show stronger recent form than Clube do Remo. EC Bahia generate stronger attacking returns. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → EC Bahia stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
EC Bahia's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

Moderate Signal Matches (2)

Leeds United FC vs Newcastle United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: Leeds United FC: 2W-2D-1L | Newcastle United FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Leeds United FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Newcastle United FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Newcastle United FC's offensive output is more reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Form, head-to-head, and goal trends are too balanced to isolate a primary driver
Moreirense FC vs CS Marítimo
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-14·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: Moreirense FC: 1W-1D-3L | CS Marítimo: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Moreirense FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | CS Marítimo: 4/5 over 2.5
CS Marítimo hold a clear form advantage over Moreirense FC. Moreirense FC concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
CS Marítimo's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (3)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Torino FC vs AS Roma
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-14·Low Alignment: 37/100
Form: Torino FC: 1W-1D-3L | AS Roma: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Torino FC: 5/5 over 2.5 | AS Roma: 3/5 over 2.5
AS Roma outperform Torino FC in recent results. AS Roma produce more attacking output per match. Torino FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from AS Roma pairs with above-average goal production
Sporting Clube de Braga vs GD Estoril Praia
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-14·Low Alignment: 20/100
Form: Sporting Clube de Braga: 2W-2D-1L | GD Estoril Praia: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sporting Clube de Braga: 4/5 over 2.5 | GD Estoril Praia: 1/5 over 2.5
Sporting Clube de Braga hold a clear form advantage over GD Estoril Praia. Sporting Clube de Braga's offensive output is more unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Form and historical data point in different directions
Sporting Clube de Braga's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-14·Low Alignment: 9/100
Form: Como 1907: 4W-1D-0L | Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Como 1907: 4/5 over 2.5 | Parma Calcio 1913: 0/5 over 2.5
Como 1907 hold a clear form advantage over Parma Calcio 1913. Como 1907's offensive output is more unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Form and historical data point in different directions
Current form and historical data diverge, reducing interpretive confidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.