Goalysis
2026-09-11

Football Analysis – 2026-09-11

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-11 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-11 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Olympique de Marseille
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-11·Moderate Alignment: 69/100
Recent form
Stade Rennais FC 1901 form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Olympique de Marseille form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 4, 3, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Stade Rennais FC 1901 and Olympique de Marseille, 3 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Stade Rennais FC 1901 have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Olympique de Marseille show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
Stade Rennais FC 1901 allow more goals per match on average. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Stade Rennais FC 1901 stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Stade Rennais FC 1901's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
FC Twente '65 vs ADO Den Haag
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 65/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Twente '65 form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. ADO Den Haag form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 4, 3, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Twente '65 and ADO Den Haag, 2 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Twente '65 have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. ADO Den Haag show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
FC Twente '65 show stronger recent form than ADO Den Haag. FC Twente '65 generate stronger attacking returns. ADO Den Haag's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Twente '65 stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
FC Twente '65's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 63/100Tomorrow
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 0, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 4, 1, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart, 2 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. VfB Stuttgart show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
VfB Stuttgart outperform TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in recent results. VfB Stuttgart produce more attacking output per match. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → VfB Stuttgart stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from VfB Stuttgart pairs with above-average goal production
AZ vs Willem II Tilburg
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-11·Moderate Alignment: 61/100
Recent form
AZ form (last 5): 5W-0D-0L. Willem II Tilburg form (last 4): 0W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 5, 2, 4, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 2, 1, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between AZ and Willem II Tilburg, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
AZ have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Willem II Tilburg show 4/4 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/4.
Why
AZ hold a clear form advantage over Willem II Tilburg. AZ's offensive output is more reliable. Willem II Tilburg concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → AZ stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
AZ's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 60/100Tomorrow
Form: Derby County FC: 1W-1D-3L | Birmingham City FC: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Derby County FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Birmingham City FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Birmingham City FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Birmingham City FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Coritiba FBC vs CA Paranaense
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 52/100Tomorrow
Form: Coritiba FBC: 3W-1D-1L | CA Paranaense: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Coritiba FBC: 4/5 over 2.5 | CA Paranaense: 3/5 over 2.5
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Coritiba FBC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Bolton Wanderers FC: 0W-1D-4L | Cardiff City FC: 0W-3D-2L
Goals: Bolton Wanderers FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Cardiff City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Cardiff City FC pairs with above-average goal production
Liverpool FC vs Fulham FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-12·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Liverpool FC: 2W-3D-0L | Fulham FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Liverpool FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Fulham FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Liverpool FC hold a clear form advantage over Fulham FC. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Liverpool FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
CAR Independiente del Valle vs CR Flamengo
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-09-11·Moderate Alignment: 45/100
Form: CAR Independiente del Valle: 4W-0D-1L | CR Flamengo: 4W-0D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: CAR Independiente del Valle: 3/5 over 2.5 | CR Flamengo: 3/5 over 2.5
CAR Independiente del Valle allow more goals per match on average. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Low Signal Matches (8)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-11·Low Alignment: 38/100
Form: 1. FC Union Berlin: 2W-2D-1L | FC Schalke 04: 0W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: 1. FC Union Berlin: 5/5 over 2.5 | FC Schalke 04: 1/2 over 2.5
1. FC Union Berlin outperform FC Schalke 04 in recent results. 1. FC Union Berlin produce more attacking output per match. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors 1. FC Union Berlin while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from 1. FC Union Berlin pairs with above-average goal production
Crystal Palace FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Crystal Palace FC: 1W-1D-3L | Ipswich Town FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Crystal Palace FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Ipswich Town FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Ipswich Town FC show weaker recent form than Crystal Palace FC. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
CD Nacional vs FC Alverca
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 32/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Nacional: 1W-1D-3L | FC Alverca: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 2/5 over 2.5 | FC Alverca: 3/5 over 2.5
The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from CD Nacional pairs with above-average goal production
West Ham United FC vs Wrexham AFC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-11·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: West Ham United FC: 3W-1D-1L | Wrexham AFC: 1W-3D-1L
Goals: West Ham United FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Wrexham AFC: 2/5 over 2.5
West Ham United FC hold a clear form advantage over Wrexham AFC. West Ham United FC's offensive output is more unreliable. West Ham United FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
West Ham United FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-11·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Sevilla FC: 2W-1D-2L | Valencia CF: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sevilla FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Valencia CF: 3/5 over 2.5
Sevilla FC outperform Valencia CF in recent results. Sevilla FC produce more attacking output per match. Valencia CF allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Weak form from Sevilla FC pairs with above-average goal production
CA Osasuna vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: CA Osasuna: 2W-1D-2L | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CA Osasuna: 2/5 over 2.5 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 3/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CA Osasuna's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Deportivo Alavés
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 22/100Tomorrow
Form: Real Racing Club de Santander: 1W-1D-2L | Deportivo Alavés: 3W-1D-1L
Goals: Real Racing Club de Santander: 3/4 over 2.5 | Deportivo Alavés: 3/5 over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés show weaker recent form than Real Racing Club de Santander. Real Racing Club de Santander's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Deportivo Alavés's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-12·Low Alignment: 15/100Tomorrow
Form: Borussia Dortmund: 5W-0D-0L | SC Paderborn 07: 0W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Borussia Dortmund: 3/5 over 2.5 | SC Paderborn 07: 0/2 over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund show weaker recent form than SC Paderborn 07. Borussia Dortmund generate weaker attacking returns. Borussia Dortmund's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
The available sources disagree, making it difficult to establish a clear direction

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.