Goalysis
2026-09-09

Football Analysis – 2026-09-09

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-09 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-09 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Moreirense FC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-09·High Alignment: 70/100
Recent form
Moreirense FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Sport Lisboa e Benfica form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 1, 0, 2, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 7, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Moreirense FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Moreirense FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. Sport Lisboa e Benfica show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Sport Lisboa e Benfica outperform Moreirense FC in recent results. Sport Lisboa e Benfica produce more attacking output per match. Moreirense FC allow more goals per match on average. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Sport Lisboa e Benfica stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Sport Lisboa e Benfica's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 65/100
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Viking FK form (last 0): 0W-0D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 1, 2, 3, 3 · Away goals (last 5): —
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
VfB Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Viking FK show 0/0 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 0/0.
Why
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Form and historical data point in different directions
Signal breakdown
Form signal → insufficient data
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
Derby County FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 64/100
Recent form
Derby County FC form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. West Bromwich Albion FC form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 2, 0, 2, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 1, 1, 3, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Derby County FC and West Bromwich Albion FC, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Derby County FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. West Bromwich Albion FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
West Bromwich Albion FC show stronger recent form than Derby County FC. West Bromwich Albion FC generate stronger attacking returns. Derby County FC's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → West Bromwich Albion FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
West Bromwich Albion FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Norwich City FC vs Birmingham City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Norwich City FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L. Birmingham City FC form (last 5): 1W-4D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 0, 4, 0, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Norwich City FC and Birmingham City FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Norwich City FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Birmingham City FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Birmingham City FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Birmingham City FC

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Liverpool FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Form: Liverpool FC: 1W-3D-1L | Club Atlético de Madrid: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Liverpool FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Club Atlético de Madrid: 4/5 over 2.5
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Club Atlético de Madrid's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
FC Barcelona vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CL·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 50/100
Form: FC Barcelona: 4W-0D-1L | Feyenoord Rotterdam: 3W-2D-0L
Goals: FC Barcelona: 4/5 over 2.5 | Feyenoord Rotterdam: 4/5 over 2.5
FC Barcelona generate stronger attacking returns. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
FC Barcelona's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
FC Twente '65 vs Telstar 1963
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 45/100
Form: FC Twente '65: 2W-1D-2L | Telstar 1963: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: FC Twente '65: 4/5 over 2.5 | Telstar 1963: 5/5 over 2.5
FC Twente '65's offensive output is more reliable. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Current form and historical data diverge, reducing interpretive confidence
Charlton Athletic FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 44/100
Form: Charlton Athletic FC: 3W-1D-1L | Queens Park Rangers FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Charlton Athletic FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Queens Park Rangers FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Charlton Athletic FC allow more goals per match on average. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
SE Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
CLI·2026-09-09·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: SE Palmeiras: 2W-2D-1L | LDU de Quito: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: SE Palmeiras: 2/5 over 2.5 | LDU de Quito: 2/5 over 2.5
LDU de Quito generate stronger attacking returns. LDU de Quito's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
LDU de Quito's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.