Goalysis
2026-09-07

Football Analysis – 2026-09-07

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-07 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-07 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

NEC vs SBV Excelsior
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-08·High Alignment: 93/100Tomorrow
Recent form
NEC form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L. SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 4, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 1, 4, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between NEC and SBV Excelsior, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
NEC have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. SBV Excelsior show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior hold a clear form advantage over NEC. NEC concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
SBV Excelsior's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-08·High Alignment: 77/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Go Ahead Eagles form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 4, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Go Ahead Eagles show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Go Ahead Eagles outperform FC Utrecht in recent results. Go Ahead Eagles produce more attacking output per match. FC Utrecht allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Go Ahead Eagles stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Go Ahead Eagles's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-07·Moderate Alignment: 60/100
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia form (last 5): 0W-1D-4L. FC Arouca form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 4, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between GD Estoril Praia and FC Arouca, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 5 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
GD Estoril Praia have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Arouca show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
FC Arouca show stronger recent form than GD Estoril Praia. FC Arouca generate stronger attacking returns. GD Estoril Praia's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Arouca stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support FC Arouca
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Sheffield United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Moderate Alignment: 54/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Blackburn Rovers FC form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Sheffield United FC form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 1, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 0, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Blackburn Rovers FC and Sheffield United FC, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Blackburn Rovers FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Sheffield United FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Sheffield United FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with both-teams-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Sheffield United FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

Moderate Signal Matches (2)

Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: Southampton FC: 2W-2D-1L | Swansea City AFC: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 3 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Southampton FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Swansea City AFC: 2/5 over 2.5
Swansea City AFC outperform Southampton FC in recent results. Southampton FC produce more attacking output per match. Southampton FC allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Swansea City AFC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
EC Vitória vs Grêmio FBPA
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-09-07·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: EC Vitória: 1W-0D-4L | Grêmio FBPA: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: EC Vitória: 2/5 over 2.5 | Grêmio FBPA: 3/5 over 2.5
Grêmio FBPA hold a clear form advantage over EC Vitória. Grêmio FBPA's offensive output is more reliable. EC Vitória concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Grêmio FBPA's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Low Signal Matches (5)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Watford FC vs Preston North End FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-08·Low Alignment: 33/100Tomorrow
Form: Watford FC: 1W-2D-2L | Preston North End FC: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Watford FC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Preston North End FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Preston North End FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Watford FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Watford FC
Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-07·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Cagliari Calcio: 3W-0D-2L | US Lecce: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Cagliari Calcio: 2/5 over 2.5 | US Lecce: 2/5 over 2.5
Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Udinese Calcio vs SS Lazio
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-07·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Udinese Calcio: 2W-1D-2L | SS Lazio: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 5 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Udinese Calcio: 1/5 over 2.5 | SS Lazio: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
SS Lazio's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Elche CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-07·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: Elche CF: 1W-2D-2L | Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Elche CF: 2/5 over 2.5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 2/5 over 2.5
Elche CF's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Getafe CF vs RC Celta de Vigo
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-07·Low Alignment: 27/100
Form: Getafe CF: 2W-0D-3L | RC Celta de Vigo: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Getafe CF: 1/5 over 2.5 | RC Celta de Vigo: 1/5 over 2.5
Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Getafe CF stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.