Goalysis
2026-09-05

Football Analysis – 2026-09-05

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-05 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-05 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

FC Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-05·High Alignment: 77/100
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L. Go Ahead Eagles form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 1, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 2, 4, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Go Ahead Eagles show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Go Ahead Eagles outperform FC Utrecht in recent results. Go Ahead Eagles produce more attacking output per match. FC Utrecht allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Go Ahead Eagles stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Go Ahead Eagles's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Valencia CF vs FC Barcelona
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 69/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Valencia CF form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. FC Barcelona form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 0, 3, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 5, 2, 5, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Valencia CF and FC Barcelona, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Valencia CF have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. FC Barcelona show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
FC Barcelona hold a clear form advantage over Valencia CF. FC Barcelona's offensive output is more reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Barcelona stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
FC Barcelona's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Angers SCO vs Stade Rennais FC 1901
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 64/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Angers SCO form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L. Stade Rennais FC 1901 form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 0, 1, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 2, 1, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Angers SCO and Stade Rennais FC 1901, 2 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Angers SCO have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Stade Rennais FC 1901 show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Stade Rennais FC 1901 produce more attacking output per match. Stade Rennais FC 1901 allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Stade Rennais FC 1901 stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from Stade Rennais FC 1901 pairs with above-average goal production
Fluminense FC vs CR Vasco da Gama
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Fluminense FC form (last 5): 3W-2D-0L. CR Vasco da Gama form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 2, 6, 3, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 0, 0, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Fluminense FC and CR Vasco da Gama, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Fluminense FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. CR Vasco da Gama show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Fluminense FC show stronger recent form than CR Vasco da Gama. Fluminense FC generate stronger attacking returns. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Fluminense FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Fluminense FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

SC Heerenveen vs AZ
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: SC Heerenveen: 1W-3D-1L | AZ: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SC Heerenveen: 2/5 over 2.5 | AZ: 3/5 over 2.5
AZ show stronger recent form than SC Heerenveen. AZ generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support AZ
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: Eintracht Frankfurt: 0W-3D-2L | FC Augsburg: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Eintracht Frankfurt: 4/5 over 2.5 | FC Augsburg: 4/5 over 2.5
FC Augsburg show stronger recent form than Eintracht Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt's defensive record is less reliable. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
FC Augsburg's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 52/100Tomorrow
Form: Arsenal FC: 4W-0D-1L | Chelsea FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: Arsenal FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Chelsea FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Chelsea FC concede at a higher rate. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Arsenal FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 48/100Tomorrow
Form: Hamburger SV: 2W-1D-2L | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Hamburger SV: 3/5 over 2.5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05: 3/5 over 2.5
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
No single signal dominates; the available data does not produce a clear interpretive direction
Deportivo Alavés vs CA Osasuna
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-06·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: Deportivo Alavés: 3W-1D-1L | CA Osasuna: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Deportivo Alavés: 2/5 over 2.5 | CA Osasuna: 2/5 over 2.5
Deportivo Alavés show stronger recent form than CA Osasuna. Deportivo Alavés generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support Deportivo Alavés
Low Signal Matches (11)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

FC Groningen vs FC Twente '65
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Groningen: 3W-0D-2L | FC Twente '65: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Groningen: 5/5 over 2.5 | FC Twente '65: 4/5 over 2.5
FC Groningen allow more goals per match on average. Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Form and head-to-head signals contradict each other, weakening the reading
Everton FC vs Manchester United FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Everton FC: 1W-2D-2L | Manchester United FC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Everton FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Manchester United FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Manchester United FC hold a clear form advantage over Everton FC. Manchester United FC's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Manchester United FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Coritiba FBC vs Mirassol FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 35/100Tomorrow
Form: Coritiba FBC: 3W-1D-1L | Mirassol FC: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 1 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 1 BTTS
Goals: Coritiba FBC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Mirassol FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Coritiba FBC hold a clear form advantage over Mirassol FC. Mirassol FC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Coritiba FBC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Birmingham City FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Birmingham City FC: 1W-4D-0L | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 2W-2D-1L
Goals: Birmingham City FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC produce more attacking output per match. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Weak form from Wolverhampton Wanderers FC pairs with above-average goal production
ES Troyes AC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 25/100Tomorrow
Form: ES Troyes AC: 1W-1D-0L | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 4 BTTS
Goals: ES Troyes AC: 1/2 over 2.5 | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 4/5 over 2.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace's offensive output is more unreliable. RC Strasbourg Alsace concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Current form and historical data diverge, reducing interpretive confidence
Málaga CF vs Levante UD
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 25/100Tomorrow
Form: Málaga CF: 0W-1D-2L | Levante UD: 2W-1D-2L
Goals: Málaga CF: 1/3 over 2.5 | Levante UD: 3/5 over 2.5
Levante UD outperform Málaga CF in recent results. Levante UD produce more attacking output per match. Málaga CF allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Levante UD's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 17/100Tomorrow
Form: Bologna FC 1909: 2W-1D-2L | US Sassuolo Calcio: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Bologna FC 1909: 2/5 over 2.5 | US Sassuolo Calcio: 4/5 over 2.5
Bologna FC 1909 show weaker recent form than US Sassuolo Calcio. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Bologna FC 1909 while head-to-head history suggests btts outcomes; current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Bologna FC 1909's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
CD Santa Clara vs Rio Ave FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 13/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Santa Clara: 2W-2D-1L | Rio Ave FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CD Santa Clara: 1/5 over 2.5 | Rio Ave FC: 1/5 over 2.5
CD Santa Clara outperform Rio Ave FC in recent results. Rio Ave FC allow more goals per match on average. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only CD Santa Clara's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Frosinone Calcio vs Venezia FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 10/100Tomorrow
Form: Frosinone Calcio: 1W-0D-1L | Venezia FC: 0W-0D-2L
Goals: Frosinone Calcio: 1/2 over 2.5 | Venezia FC: 0/2 over 2.5
Frosinone Calcio outperform Venezia FC in recent results. Frosinone Calcio produce more attacking output per match. Venezia FC allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects limited sample size. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Frosinone Calcio's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia AC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 3/100Tomorrow
Form: Vitória SC: 1W-0D-4L | Casa Pia AC: 0W-1D-4L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Vitória SC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Casa Pia AC: 1/5 over 2.5
Casa Pia AC allow more goals per match on average. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Vitória SC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Monza
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-06·Low Alignment: 0/100Tomorrow
Form: Parma Calcio 1913: 1W-0D-4L | AC Monza: 0W-0D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Parma Calcio 1913: 1/5 over 2.5 | AC Monza: 2/2 over 2.5
Parma Calcio 1913 outperform AC Monza in recent results. AC Monza produce more attacking output per match. AC Monza allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Form and historical data point in different directions
Weak form from Parma Calcio 1913 pairs with above-average goal production

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.