Goalysis
2026-09-02

Football Analysis – 2026-09-02

Daily football match analysis for 2026-09-02 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-09-02 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-09-04·High Alignment: 70/100Upcoming
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart form (last 5): 1W-3D-1L. 1. FC Köln form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 3, 3, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
VfB Stuttgart have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. 1. FC Köln show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → VfB Stuttgart stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
VfB Stuttgart's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ Auxerre
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 63/100Upcoming
Recent form
Olympique Lyonnais form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. AJ Auxerre form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 0, 1, 4 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 2, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Olympique Lyonnais and AJ Auxerre, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Olympique Lyonnais have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. AJ Auxerre show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → AJ Auxerre stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support AJ Auxerre
West Bromwich Albion FC vs Charlton Athletic FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-02·Moderate Alignment: 59/100
Recent form
West Bromwich Albion FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Charlton Athletic FC form (last 5): 4W-0D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 3, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 2, 2, 1, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between West Bromwich Albion FC and Charlton Athletic FC, 1 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
West Bromwich Albion FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Charlton Athletic FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Charlton Athletic FC show stronger recent form than West Bromwich Albion FC. Both teams frequently exceed the goal threshold. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Charlton Athletic FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Charlton Athletic FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Ipswich Town FC vs Liverpool FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Upcoming
Recent form
Ipswich Town FC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. Liverpool FC form (last 5): 0W-4D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 2, 3, 2, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 1, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Ipswich Town FC and Liverpool FC, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Ipswich Town FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Liverpool FC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
Ipswich Town FC show stronger recent form than Liverpool FC. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Ipswich Town FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Ipswich Town FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

Moderate Signal Matches (3)

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Upcoming
Form: Paris Saint-Germain FC: 2W-2D-1L | AS Monaco FC: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Paris Saint-Germain FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | AS Monaco FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC's offensive output is more reliable. Paris Saint-Germain FC concede at a higher rate. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
AS Monaco FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Real Betis Balompié vs Real Madrid CF
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-04·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Upcoming
Form: Real Betis Balompié: 3W-0D-2L | Real Madrid CF: 5W-0D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Real Betis Balompié: 3/5 over 2.5 | Real Madrid CF: 4/5 over 2.5
Real Madrid CF show stronger recent form than Real Betis Balompié. Real Madrid CF generate stronger attacking returns. Real Betis Balompié's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Real Madrid CF's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-09-03·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: Toulouse FC: 2W-2D-1L | Lille OSC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Toulouse FC: 4/5 over 2.5 | Lille OSC: 1/5 over 2.5
Toulouse FC's defensive record is less reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation. Form and historical data point in different directions
Head-to-head scoring patterns and recent goal rates both signal high tempo
Low Signal Matches (5)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Millwall FC vs Wrexham AFC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-09-02·Low Alignment: 32/100
Form: Millwall FC: 2W-1D-2L | Wrexham AFC: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 0 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Millwall FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Wrexham AFC: 3/5 over 2.5
Millwall FC hold a clear form advantage over Wrexham AFC. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Millwall FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs RC Celta de Vigo
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-09-03·Low Alignment: 26/100Tomorrow
Form: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1W-1D-3L | RC Celta de Vigo: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 3/5 over 2.5 | RC Celta de Vigo: 1/5 over 2.5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol generate weaker attacking returns. Real Sociedad de Fútbol's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
RC Celta de Vigo's form advantage is the clearest signal but lacks corroboration from other sources
FC Porto vs Moreirense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-09-04·Low Alignment: 20/100Upcoming
Form: FC Porto: 5W-0D-0L | Moreirense FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: FC Porto: 1/5 over 2.5 | Moreirense FC: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Porto hold a clear form advantage over Moreirense FC. FC Porto's offensive output is more unreliable. Moreirense FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Recent form favors FC Porto while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes; current goal rates are low despite high-scoring head-to-head history
FC Porto's form advantage is not reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Genoa CFC vs Como 1907
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-09-04·Low Alignment: 11/100Upcoming
Form: Genoa CFC: 0W-1D-4L | Como 1907: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Genoa CFC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Como 1907: 2/5 over 2.5
Como 1907 outperform Genoa CFC in recent results. Como 1907 produce more attacking output per match. Genoa CFC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Como 1907's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-09-04·Low Alignment: 10/100Upcoming
Form: Sparta Rotterdam: 1W-1D-3L | PEC Zwolle: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 0 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sparta Rotterdam: 4/5 over 2.5 | PEC Zwolle: 2/5 over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam generate weaker attacking returns. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Sparta Rotterdam's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.