Goalysis
2026-08-29

Football Analysis – 2026-08-29

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-29 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-29 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-30·High Alignment: 86/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Chelsea FC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Brighton & Hove Albion FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 0, 0, 3, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Chelsea FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, 4 of the last 4 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 4 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Chelsea FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Brighton & Hove Albion FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/5.
Why
Goal-heavy fixtures are common for both teams. The available signals align consistently, supporting a high alignment score. This confirms high confidence in the observed pattern.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Chelsea FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Multiple independent sources confirm the same direction.
Key insight
Chelsea FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
FC Utrecht vs PSV
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-30·High Alignment: 77/100Tomorrow
Recent form
FC Utrecht form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. PSV form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 1, 1, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 5, 2, 2, 5, 4
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between FC Utrecht and PSV, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 5 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
FC Utrecht have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. PSV show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
PSV hold a clear form advantage over FC Utrecht. PSV's offensive output is more reliable. FC Utrecht concede at a higher rate. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → PSV stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
PSV's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Le Mans FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 65/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Stade Rennais FC 1901 form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. Le Mans FC form (last 1): 0W-1D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2
Head-to-head
No recent finished head-to-head sample was available.
Goal trends
Stade Rennais FC 1901 have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. Le Mans FC show 1/1 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 1/1.
Why
Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Stade Rennais FC 1901 stronger
H2H signal → no historical data available
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Stade Rennais FC 1901's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 60/100Tomorrow
Recent form
SC Freiburg form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. SV Werder Bremen form (last 5): 1W-1D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 2, 1, 0, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 0, 0, 1, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between SC Freiburg and SV Werder Bremen, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
SC Freiburg have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. SV Werder Bremen show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
SC Freiburg hold a clear form advantage over SV Werder Bremen. SC Freiburg's offensive output is more reliable. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SC Freiburg stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
SC Freiburg's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Form: AS Monaco FC: 2W-1D-2L | Olympique de Marseille: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: AS Monaco FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Olympique de Marseille: 3/5 over 2.5
Olympique de Marseille hold a clear form advantage over AS Monaco FC. AS Monaco FC concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Olympique de Marseille's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Leeds United FC vs Brentford FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 53/100Tomorrow
Form: Leeds United FC: 3W-1D-1L | Brentford FC: 2W-2D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Leeds United FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Brentford FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Brentford FC produce more attacking output per match. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from Leeds United FC pairs with above-average goal production
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs ADO Den Haag
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 3W-2D-0L | ADO Den Haag: 0W-0D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Feyenoord Rotterdam: 2/5 over 2.5 | ADO Den Haag: 2/3 over 2.5
Feyenoord Rotterdam show stronger recent form than ADO Den Haag. Feyenoord Rotterdam generate stronger attacking returns. ADO Den Haag's defensive record is less reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Feyenoord Rotterdam's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
SS Lazio vs Genoa CFC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 47/100Tomorrow
Form: SS Lazio: 3W-0D-2L | Genoa CFC: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: SS Lazio: 3/5 over 2.5 | Genoa CFC: 1/5 over 2.5
SS Lazio show stronger recent form than Genoa CFC. SS Lazio generate stronger attacking returns. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Form and head-to-head data both support SS Lazio
Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-30·Moderate Alignment: 40/100Tomorrow
Form: Sunderland AFC: 2W-2D-1L | Fulham FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 1 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Sunderland AFC: 3/5 over 2.5 | Fulham FC: 2/5 over 2.5
Sunderland AFC show stronger recent form than Fulham FC. Fulham FC's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Sunderland AFC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (11)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Casa Pia AC vs Moreirense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Casa Pia AC: 1W-1D-3L | Moreirense FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 3 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Casa Pia AC: 1/5 over 2.5 | Moreirense FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Moreirense FC's offensive output is more unreliable. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Moreirense FC's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BL1·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 32/100Tomorrow
Form: FC Augsburg: 3W-1D-1L | FC Schalke 04: 0W-0D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 4 BTTS
Goals: FC Augsburg: 4/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources and insufficient recent data. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Form and historical data point in different directions
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
CA Paranaense vs Fluminense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: CA Paranaense: 3W-2D-0L | Fluminense FC: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CA Paranaense: 1/5 over 2.5 | Fluminense FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Fluminense FC generate weaker attacking returns. Fluminense FC's defensive record is less unreliable. Indicators diverge, giving low overall alignment. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Willem II Tilburg vs SC Heerenveen
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 28/100Tomorrow
Form: Willem II Tilburg: 0W-0D-2L | SC Heerenveen: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Willem II Tilburg: 2/2 over 2.5 | SC Heerenveen: 1/5 over 2.5
SC Heerenveen outperform Willem II Tilburg in recent results. Willem II Tilburg allow more goals per match on average. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors SC Heerenveen while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
SC Heerenveen's recent results and head-to-head history diverge on the same reading
São Paulo FC vs RB Bragantino
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-29·Low Alignment: 27/100
Form: São Paulo FC: 0W-2D-3L | RB Bragantino: 1W-3D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: São Paulo FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | RB Bragantino: 0/5 over 2.5
RB Bragantino outperform São Paulo FC in recent results. São Paulo FC allow more goals per match on average. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only RB Bragantino's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
SSC Napoli vs Como 1907
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 26/100Tomorrow
Form: SSC Napoli: 3W-1D-1L | Como 1907: 3W-2D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: SSC Napoli: 2/5 over 2.5 | Como 1907: 1/5 over 2.5
Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Como 1907 stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
Paris FC vs OGC Nice
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Paris FC: 2W-1D-2L | OGC Nice: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 2 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 2 BTTS
Goals: Paris FC: 3/5 over 2.5 | OGC Nice: 1/5 over 2.5
Paris FC outperform OGC Nice in recent results. Paris FC produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Paris FC's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
Real Madrid CF vs Málaga CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 18/100Tomorrow
Form: Real Madrid CF: 5W-0D-0L | Málaga CF: 0W-1D-1L
Goals: Real Madrid CF: 3/5 over 2.5 | Málaga CF: 0/2 over 2.5
Real Madrid CF hold a clear form advantage over Málaga CF. Real Madrid CF's offensive output is more unreliable. Málaga CF concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Real Madrid CF stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
CR Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro EC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
BSA·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 17/100Tomorrow
Form: CR Vasco da Gama: 0W-2D-3L | Cruzeiro EC: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: CR Vasco da Gama: 2/5 over 2.5 | Cruzeiro EC: 4/5 over 2.5
Cruzeiro EC show weaker recent form than CR Vasco da Gama. Cruzeiro EC generate weaker attacking returns. CR Vasco da Gama's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Cruzeiro EC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 6/100Tomorrow
Form: CD Nacional: 2W-1D-2L | CF Estrela da Amadora: 0W-4D-1L
H2H: 0 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 1/5 over 2.5 | CF Estrela da Amadora: 4/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional show weaker recent form than CF Estrela da Amadora. CF Estrela da Amadora's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Form and historical data point in different directions
CD Nacional's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Valencia CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-30·Low Alignment: 4/100Tomorrow
Form: RC Deportivo La Coruña: 0W-2D-0L | Valencia CF: 2W-2D-1L
Goals: RC Deportivo La Coruña: 0/2 over 2.5 | Valencia CF: 2/5 over 2.5
Valencia CF outperform RC Deportivo La Coruña in recent results. Valencia CF produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only Valencia CF's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.