Goalysis
2026-08-21

Football Analysis – 2026-08-21

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-21 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-21 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

NEC vs SBV Excelsior
Strong SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-22·High Alignment: 80/100Tomorrow
Recent form
NEC form (last 5): 2W-1D-2L. SBV Excelsior form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 1, 2, 1, 1 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 4, 3, 1, 3
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between NEC and SBV Excelsior, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 1 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
NEC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of those games. SBV Excelsior show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
SBV Excelsior hold a clear form advantage over NEC. SBV Excelsior's offensive output is more reliable. Both sides regularly produce matches above the goal threshold. Multiple independent indicators reinforce the same reading. This produces a reliable and consistent reading.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → SBV Excelsior stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals align consistently, resulting in high alignment.
Key insight
SBV Excelsior's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Ipswich Town FC vs Sunderland AFC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-22·Moderate Alignment: 65/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Ipswich Town FC form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L. Sunderland AFC form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 3, 2, 0, 2, 2 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 3, 0, 1, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Ipswich Town FC and Sunderland AFC, 2 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Ipswich Town FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Sunderland AFC show 3/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 3/5.
Why
Ipswich Town FC produce more attacking output per match. Sunderland AFC allow more goals per match on average. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Ipswich Town FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from Ipswich Town FC pairs with above-average goal production
Real Betis Balompié vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-21·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Real Betis Balompié form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L. Real Sociedad de Fútbol form (last 5): 0W-3D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 2, 1, 2, 2, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 1, 3, 1, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Real Betis Balompié and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Real Betis Balompié have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 4 of those games. Real Sociedad de Fútbol show 2/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Real Betis Balompié hold a clear form advantage over Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Real Betis Balompié's offensive output is more reliable. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Real Betis Balompié stronger
H2H signal → aligned with over-threshold outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Real Betis Balompié's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns
Racing Club de Lens vs AJ Auxerre
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-22·Moderate Alignment: 57/100Tomorrow
Recent form
Racing Club de Lens form (last 5): 2W-2D-1L. AJ Auxerre form (last 5): 3W-1D-1L.
Home goals (last 5): 4, 0, 1, 1, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 3, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Racing Club de Lens and AJ Auxerre, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 3 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Racing Club de Lens have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 2 of those games. AJ Auxerre show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → AJ Auxerre stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
AJ Auxerre's form advantage is reinforced by historical matchup patterns

Moderate Signal Matches (5)

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-22·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Fortuna Sittard: 2W-1D-2L | AZ: 2W-3D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Fortuna Sittard: 4/5 over 2.5 | AZ: 3/5 over 2.5
AZ generate stronger attacking returns. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
AZ's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-22·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Sparta Rotterdam: 1W-1D-3L | FC Utrecht: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Sparta Rotterdam: 4/5 over 2.5 | FC Utrecht: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Utrecht outperform Sparta Rotterdam in recent results. Sparta Rotterdam allow more goals per match on average. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This creates only moderate alignment.
Strong form from FC Utrecht pairs with above-average goal production
Valencia CF vs RC Celta de Vigo
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-22·Moderate Alignment: 50/100Tomorrow
Form: Valencia CF: 3W-1D-1L | RC Celta de Vigo: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 5 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 5 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Valencia CF: 2/5 over 2.5 | RC Celta de Vigo: 2/5 over 2.5
Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
All indicators remain neutral, offering no distinct interpretive advantage
Olympique de Marseille vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-21·Moderate Alignment: 43/100
Form: Olympique de Marseille: 2W-1D-2L | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Olympique de Marseille: 2/5 over 2.5 | RC Strasbourg Alsace: 4/5 over 2.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace hold a clear form advantage over Olympique de Marseille. RC Strasbourg Alsace's offensive output is more reliable. RC Strasbourg Alsace concede at a higher rate. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
RC Strasbourg Alsace's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Arsenal FC vs Coventry City FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-21·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Form: Arsenal FC: 4W-0D-1L | Coventry City FC: 3W-2D-0L
Goals: Arsenal FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Coventry City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Coventry City FC generate stronger attacking returns. Arsenal FC's defensive record is less reliable. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Arsenal FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Low Signal Matches (10)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Birmingham City FC vs Bristol City FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Birmingham City FC: 2W-3D-0L | Bristol City FC: 1W-1D-3L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Birmingham City FC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Bristol City FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Birmingham City FC hold a clear form advantage over Bristol City FC. Bristol City FC concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Birmingham City FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Athletic Club vs Sevilla FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 37/100Tomorrow
Form: Athletic Club: 1W-1D-3L | Sevilla FC: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 3 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Athletic Club: 2/5 over 2.5 | Sevilla FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Sevilla FC hold a clear form advantage over Athletic Club. Athletic Club concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Sevilla FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
CS Marítimo vs Académico de Viseu FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 35/100Tomorrow
Form: CS Marítimo: 2W-0D-0L | Académico de Viseu FC: 0W-1D-1L
Goals: CS Marítimo: 1/2 over 2.5 | Académico de Viseu FC: 1/2 over 2.5
CS Marítimo show weaker recent form than Académico de Viseu FC. Académico de Viseu FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects limited sample size. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
CS Marítimo's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Le Mans FC vs Stade Brestois 29
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
FL1·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 35/100Tomorrow
Form: Le Mans FC: 0W-0D-0L | Stade Brestois 29: 0W-2D-3L
Goals: Stade Brestois 29: 3/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects insufficient recent data. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight.
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
Hull City AFC vs Manchester United FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PL·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 30/100Tomorrow
Form: Hull City AFC: 3W-1D-1L | Manchester United FC: 4W-1D-0L
Goals: Hull City AFC: 2/5 over 2.5 | Manchester United FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Manchester United FC hold a clear form advantage over Hull City AFC. Manchester United FC's offensive output is more unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Manchester United FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Millwall FC vs Norwich City FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Millwall FC: 2W-2D-1L | Norwich City FC: 2W-1D-2L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Millwall FC: 0/5 over 2.5 | Norwich City FC: 4/5 over 2.5
Norwich City FC generate weaker attacking returns. Norwich City FC's defensive record is less unreliable. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors Millwall FC while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for Millwall FC
Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 23/100Tomorrow
Form: Genoa CFC: 0W-2D-3L | SSC Napoli: 3W-1D-1L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 5 of 5 BTTS
Goals: Genoa CFC: 1/5 over 2.5 | SSC Napoli: 3/5 over 2.5
SSC Napoli show weaker recent form than Genoa CFC. SSC Napoli generate weaker attacking returns. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Recent form favors SSC Napoli while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes
Form and head-to-head data pull in opposite directions for SSC Napoli
Lincoln City FC vs Portsmouth FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 22/100Tomorrow
Form: Lincoln City FC: 0W-0D-1L | Portsmouth FC: 2W-1D-2L
Goals: Lincoln City FC: 1/1 over 2.5 | Portsmouth FC: 3/5 over 2.5
Portsmouth FC show weaker recent form than Lincoln City FC. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This means the signal carries limited interpretive weight. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Portsmouth FC's form advantage coincides with elevated goal rates
Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
SA·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 11/100Tomorrow
Form: Udinese Calcio: 2W-1D-2L | Como 1907: 4W-1D-0L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 4 BTTS
Goals: Udinese Calcio: 1/5 over 2.5 | Como 1907: 1/5 over 2.5
Como 1907 hold a clear form advantage over Udinese Calcio. Udinese Calcio concede at a higher rate. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Como 1907 stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
GD Estoril Praia vs Rio Ave FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-22·Low Alignment: 10/100Tomorrow
Form: GD Estoril Praia: 0W-3D-2L | Rio Ave FC: 0W-2D-3L
H2H: 4 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: GD Estoril Praia: 1/5 over 2.5 | Rio Ave FC: 1/5 over 2.5
Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This weakens confidence in the observed direction. Recent form favors GD Estoril Praia while head-to-head history suggests high-scoring outcomes; current goal rates are low despite high-scoring head-to-head history
GD Estoril Praia's recent results and head-to-head history diverge on the same reading

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.