Goalysis
2026-08-16

Football Analysis – 2026-08-16

Daily football match analysis for 2026-08-16 with signal scores and risk flags.

Introduction

Football match analysis for 2026-08-16 using Goalysis signals. Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.

Top Matches Today (4)

Burnley FC vs West Ham United FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-16·Moderate Alignment: 60/100
Recent form
Burnley FC form (last 5): 0W-2D-3L. West Ham United FC form (last 5): 2W-0D-3L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 0, 2, 1, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 3, 1, 0, 0, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Burnley FC and West Ham United FC, 3 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Burnley FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. West Ham United FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 2/5.
Why
West Ham United FC outperform Burnley FC in recent results. Signals partially align but with notable inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → West Ham United FC stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
West Ham United FC's recent results and head-to-head history converge on the same reading
Watford FC vs Southampton FC
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
ELC·2026-08-16·Moderate Alignment: 59/100
Recent form
Watford FC form (last 5): 0W-0D-5L. Southampton FC form (last 5): 2W-3D-0L.
Home goals (last 5): 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 0, 3, 2, 2
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Watford FC and Southampton FC, 2 of the last 3 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 2 of the last 3 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Watford FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 of those games. Southampton FC show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Southampton FC hold a clear form advantage over Watford FC. Southampton FC's offensive output is more reliable. Watford FC concede at a higher rate. Data shows mixed alignment across indicators. This means the signal should be treated with moderate confidence.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Southampton FC stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → support the signal
Alignment is present but not uniform across all sources.
Key insight
Southampton FC's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-16·Moderate Alignment: 57/100
Recent form
Feyenoord Rotterdam form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L. Go Ahead Eagles form (last 5): 1W-2D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 1, 2, 1, 2, 3 · Away goals (last 5): 4, 1, 1, 2, 0
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles, 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 4 of the last 5 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
Feyenoord Rotterdam have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of those games. Go Ahead Eagles show 4/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 4/5.
Why
Feyenoord Rotterdam show stronger recent form than Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles's defensive record is less reliable. Patterns align in some areas but remain uneven. This limits the reliability of any single interpretation.
Signal breakdown
Form signal → Feyenoord Rotterdam stronger
H2H signal → aligned with high-scoring outcomes
Goal trends → support the signal
Some indicators agree while others diverge.
Key insight
Form and head-to-head data both support Feyenoord Rotterdam
ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen
Mixed SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-16·Moderate Alignment: 40/100
Recent form
ADO Den Haag form (last 1): 0W-0D-1L. FC Groningen form (last 5): 3W-0D-2L.
Home goals (last 5): 0 · Away goals (last 5): 2, 2, 2, 2, 1
Head-to-head
In recent head-to-head meetings between ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen, 1 of the last 2 meetings finished with 3+ goals, while 0 of the last 2 meetings included goals from both teams.
Goal trends
ADO Den Haag have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1 matches, and both teams scored in 0 of those games. FC Groningen show 5/5 over 2.5 matches with BTTS landing 5/5.
Why
FC Groningen outperform ADO Den Haag in recent results. FC Groningen produce more attacking output per match. Signals show partial agreement with some inconsistencies. This creates only moderate alignment. Form and historical data point in different directions
Signal breakdown
Form signal → FC Groningen stronger
H2H signal → mixed, no moderate pattern
Goal trends → are inconclusive
Signals partially align, with some inconsistency.
Key insight
Strong form from FC Groningen pairs with above-average goal production
Low Signal Matches (6)Expand to view

These matches show low reliability signals. Treat with caution.

Real Racing Club de Santander vs Villarreal CF
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 35/100
Form: Real Racing Club de Santander: 0W-0D-0L | Villarreal CF: 2W-1D-2L
Goals: Villarreal CF: 3/5 over 2.5
Limited recent form data restricts comparison between these teams. The low score reflects insufficient recent data. This reduces reliability of the signal.
Insufficient data across all signal sources prevents a meaningful interpretation
FC Twente '65 vs PEC Zwolle
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
DED·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 30/100
Form: FC Twente '65: 1W-2D-2L | PEC Zwolle: 1W-0D-4L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 4 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Twente '65: 3/5 over 2.5 | PEC Zwolle: 2/5 over 2.5
FC Twente '65's offensive output is more unreliable. PEC Zwolle concede at a higher rate. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
FC Twente '65's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 29/100
Form: CD Nacional: 2W-1D-2L | GD Estoril Praia: 0W-3D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 4 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 4 BTTS
Goals: CD Nacional: 2/5 over 2.5 | GD Estoril Praia: 1/5 over 2.5
CD Nacional outperform GD Estoril Praia in recent results. CD Nacional produce more attacking output per match. The available data does not produce a coherent pattern. This weakens confidence in the observed direction.
Only CD Nacional's recent results provide a directional signal, with limited supporting evidence
FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 23/100
Form: FC Arouca: 3W-1D-1L | Moreirense FC: 1W-2D-2L
H2H: 1 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Arouca: 4/5 over 2.5 | Moreirense FC: 3/5 over 2.5
FC Arouca hold a clear form advantage over Moreirense FC. FC Arouca's offensive output is more unreliable. Moreirense FC concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
FC Arouca's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other
FC Famalicão vs CS Marítimo
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PPL·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 17/100
Form: FC Famalicão: 2W-3D-0L | CS Marítimo: 1W-0D-0L
H2H: 2 of last 5 matches over 2.5 goals, 1 of 5 BTTS
Goals: FC Famalicão: 1/5 over 2.5 | CS Marítimo: 0/1 over 2.5
CS Marítimo hold a clear form advantage over FC Famalicão. FC Famalicão concede at a higher rate. Neither team inconsistently reaches the goal threshold. Signals do not align consistently, resulting in low alignment. This reduces reliability of the signal.
CS Marítimo stands out on form alone, but no other indicator confirms the edge
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Levante UD
Weak SignalGeneral Analysis
PD·2026-08-16·Low Alignment: 16/100
Form: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 2W-1D-2L | Levante UD: 3W-0D-2L
H2H: 0 of last 3 matches over 2.5 goals, 2 of 3 BTTS
Goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 2/5 over 2.5 | Levante UD: 4/5 over 2.5
Levante UD's offensive output is more unreliable. Levante UD concede at a higher rate. The low score reflects conflicting signals across data sources. This reduces reliability of the signal. Current goal rates are high but head-to-head meetings do not reflect this
Levante UD's consistency and high goal frequency reinforce each other

How to interpret these signals

Signal fit scores (0–100) indicate alignment between form, H2H patterns, and the selected analysis type. Higher scores suggest more consistent signals.